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Player Outlooks (2022)
QB Aaron Rodgers: There is definite concern about Rodgers losing Davante Adams this year, but head coach Matt LaFleur can organize an offensive game plan with the best of them, and Green Bay still has an excellent one-two punch at running back along with talented players on the perimeter (there is even talk about Odell Beckham Jr. being signed). Our biggest worry would be younger options at wide receiver potentially drawing the early ire of the 38-year-old quarterback if the passing attack starts slow—and the offense have decreased volume/numbers through the air considering LaFleur often has a slower pace to begin with. Rodgers might be more of a high-end QB2.
QB Jordan Love: Love struggled in his first career start last year (a 13-7 loss to the Chiefs), and he’s again going to be the No. 2 quarterback with Aaron Rodgers back. Fortunately for those holding onto him in dynasty leagues, the 2020 first-round pick could have a path to the starting job if Rodgers—who has been very open about retirement—hangs up his cleats.
RB Aaron Jones: Jones is set to be the focal point of Green Bay’s offense following their trade of Davante Adams, and he’s already seen his ADP jump significantly over the past month or so (18.0 on Underdog)—but perhaps not high enough In his past seven games without Adams in the lineup, Jones has averaged a whopping 122.6 total yards with ten total touchdowns, including 110 total yards and a score on 22 touches in the lone such case last year. He should be a clear RB1 option and arguably a top-ten pick in 0.5 PPR leagues.
RB AJ Dillon: Dillon finished as a low-end RB2 last season, and he is still undervalued with a unique combination of standalone value—which should increase without Davante Adams—and premium handcuff upside behind Aaron Jones. Last year, Dillon rushed 16 times for 76 yards in the lone game without Adams, and he’s a top candidate to take a chunk of scores left behind by the superstar wideout (29 touchdowns over the past 30 games). The power runner is someone you want in the fantasy playoffs with 5.2 yards per carry for his career in December.
RB Kylin Hill: Hill only had ten offensive touches in eight games last year before a season-ending knee injury, but he flashed in preseason action and will hope to return to form by training camp in a battle for the No. 3 job. His potential contributions as a kick returner will help his roster odds.
RB Tyler Goodson: On the downside for Hill’s outlook, we are very high on Goodson as an undrafted free agent out of Iowa—including a comparison to Aaron Jones in the pre-draft process. Goodson apparently impressed at OTAs (including as a pass-catcher), and he should be a target as an end-of-bench stash in all dynasty leagues while his value is at its lowest.
WR Allen Lazard: Aside from Randall Cobb, the thing Lazard will have over the rest of the options on the depth chart is the trust of Aaron Rodgers, which isn’t easily earned and took some time for him to finally get. Almost as important, Lazard being a top-notch blocker will lock him into significant playing time, so continuing to be targeted in the red zone is key to fully establish himself as a primary receiver in the post-Davante Adams world. He’s in a huge group of FLEX options at wide receiver.
WR Sammy Watkins: He’s always dismissed when brought up, but talent has never been the question for Watkins, and his touchdown upside shouldn’t be overlooked after he totaled eight scores for a Rams offense coordinated by Matt LaFleur in 2017. Watkins staying healthy and getting on the same page with Rodgers this summer could make him a home-run value as someone usually available in the final round of redraft leagues.
WR Christian Watson: Watson will be among the many options fighting for snaps on Green Bay’s offense—including Watkins, Lazard, Randall Cobb, Amari Rodgers, and fellow rookie Romeo Doubs—but he has the size (six-foot-four) and athleticism (4.36 40-yard dash; 38.5-inch vertical) to set himself apart. That said, it could be a steeper learning curve than many want to admit with 104 career receptions at North Dakota State, and Watson being little more than an occasional field-stretcher as a rookie is possible.
WR Randall Cobb: Cobb is the forgotten man in Green Bay’s offense, but he probably shouldn’t be after scoring five touchdowns and seeing increased playing time last year before going down with a core-muscle injury in Week 12. One of Aaron Rodgers’ closest teammates on and off the field, Cobb saw snap percentages of 63%, 68%, 68%, and 76% in the final four regular season games before the Week 12 injury—and he had a 4/95/1 line on just 19 snaps in that outing. Amari Rodgers not being able to find his footing this summer would bode very well for Cobb’s 2022 outlook.
WR Amari Rodgers: There is reason to worry about Rodgers after he caught just four passes as a rookie and didn’t play an offensive snap in the playoffs—but jumping ship after one year could prove to be a mistake. Targets will be up for grabs with Davante Adams gone, so Rodgers will have an opportunity to take advantage in training camp and preseason action.
WR Romeo Doubs: Doubs is a possession target with an overall skillset that translates well to the next level, and he shouldn’t be overlooked as a Year 1 contributor if he starts fast for Green Bay this summer. Especially considering the durability issues of Watkins and the age of Cobb, Doubs should be monitored in all leagues.
WR Juwann Winfree: All the new faces could make it difficult for Winfree to climb the depth chart, but he does have experience in the system for what should be a wide-open competition. Although he only had four receptions for 30 yards in the win, Winfree was big in Green Bay’s primetime victory over Arizona when Davante Adams was out due to COVID-19.
TE Robert Tonyan: Only a season removed from catching 52 passes for 586 yards and 11 touchdowns (on just 59 targets), Tonyan is a strong bounce-back candidate coming off a torn ACL. Again, Adams leaves behind a huge touchdown hole with essentially a one-touchdown-per-game average over the past two seasons in Matt LaFleur’s system, and it’s notable that Tonyan caught ten-of-11 targets in the red zone during his 2020 breakout—including seven touchdowns.
TE Josiah Deguara: Deguara was a third-round pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, and he stepped up in Year 2 with 25 receptions (on 33 targets) for 245 yards and two touchdowns after missing essentially his entire rookie season. He could carry some value if Tonyan’s recovery takes longer than expected.
TE Marcedes Lewis: Lewis recently said he hopes to break the NFL record for seasons played by a tight end (18), and this year, he’ll tie Tony Gonzalez and Jason Witten at 17 seasons assuming he suits up in the opener (or at some point beyond that). The veteran is a better real-life option with limited fantasy appeal after zero scores in 2021.
Other Notes
Best 2022 value: WR Sammy Watkins (FantasyPros ECR: WR106)
The ADP on Underdog (168.0 overall as the WR75) is much more accurate/reliable than whatever the “experts” are saying right now, and we have Watkins as a top-60 option that can be an every-week FLEX option if he stays healthy. Last year in Baltimore, Watkins averaged 14.6 yards per reception, and he should see more vertical success with Aaron Rodgers throwing passes in Green Bay.
Best dynasty investment: WR Romeo Doubs
Our full scouting report on Doubs can be read here as reason to invest in him.
Stat to know
Last season, Allen Lazard had the lowest catch percentage in scoring territory (42.86%) among 29 players with at least five receiving touchdowns in the red zone.
