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2022 Fantasy Football Preview: New York Jets

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Player Outlooks (2022)


QB Zach Wilson: Wilson gets a bolstered supporting cast in 2022, but the downside is New York quickly going off the rails if they don’t live up to expectations early in the season, especially if the quarterback himself struggles—a definite possibility because of the division and conference they play in (not to mention his freestyling play). On the flip side, Wilson showed promise playing within the structure of the offense to close out his rookie campaign, and more familiarity with the system (and overall confidence) could lead to a huge Year 2 leap. He’s a low-end QB2 with upside.


RB Breece Hall: The outlook for Hall is very difficult to nail down because there are clear positives and clear negatives that balance each other out. For the downside, the Jets have an absolutely brutal schedule to start the season (v BAL, @ CLE, v CIN, @ PIT, v MIA, @ GB, @ DEN, v NE, v BUF) and could once again be out of contention by Halloween. Plus, the team won’t simply push second-year back Michael Carter aside, so expecting some sort of Najee Harris-level workload would be a mistake. Looking at the positives, Hall is a very talented all-around player, will be running behind what projects to be a great run-blocking offensive line. Altogether, he just might be slightly overvalued.


RB Michael Carter: The Jets selecting Breece Hall as the first running back off the board following a trade up was a worst-case scenario for Carter—who will now be locked into a change-of-pace role. Maybe the former North Carolina standout will be boosted if it looks like an even split in the preseason (which would be a surprise), but Carter feels like someone that could be a frustrating bench player for redraft owners.


RB Tevin Coleman: Although we believe Coleman has enough burst in his age-29 campaign to make an impact if given enough snaps, New York’s backfield is suddenly crowded, so it’d likely take an injury or trade/release to have standalone value. Last season, the veteran had a stretch with yardage totals of 70, 77, 50, and 61 while averaging 4.7 yards per carry—and during which the Jets went 2-2.


RB Ty Johnson: The ability of Breece Hall as a pass-catcher (not to mention Michael Carter’s effectiveness) really impacts the stock of Johnson in deeper PPR leagues—as he probably won’t be able to match last year’s numbers through the air (34/372/2). Turning 25 in September, Johnson is another option that could benefit from a change of scenery if he’s going to make a 2022 impact.


WR Elijah Moore: A quad injury ended his rookie season following Week 12, but Moore had started to catch fire with various quarterbacks under center in 2021—averaging a season-long pace of 96 receptions, 1,300 yards, and 14 touchdowns in six games from Halloween through the first week of December. Now he’ll be sharing the spotlight with No. 10 overall pick Garrett Wilson and veteran Corey Davis (who was in and out of the lineup last year), but Moore can still be the best of the group based on what he showed both as a pro and dating back to his time at Ole Miss. For all the New York wideouts, the progression of Zach Wilson is crucial in living up to their potential.


WR Garrett Wilson: Wilson getting drafted in the top ten and drawing comparisons to Stefon Diggs from draft analysts will be enough to push him up redraft boards this summer, and maybe he’ll immediately establish himself as the No. 1 wideout for the Jets. That said, Elijah Moore has a year of experience in the system, and New York might be wise to run the passing attack through him—so it’s a significant leap to expect the offense will improve enough to lift two young wideouts in addition to Corey Davis and Braxton Berrios being back (plus Denzel Mims getting pre-summer hype). All things considered, a Justin Jefferson/Ja’Marr Chase-type rookie year would be shocking.


WR Corey Davis: A projected Year 2 jump from Elijah Moore and the selection of Garrett Wilson leaves Davis in a tough spot, because as stated, New York might not be good enough to support everyone without Zach Wilson quickly turning into a star. Davis did have four touchdowns in his first six games as a Jet before injuries hit, so maybe his experience gives him an early edge to be Wilson’s most trusted target. We’ll see how playing time is divided versus the AFC North gauntlet (v BAL, @ CLE, v CIN, @ PIT) in the first four games of the year.


WR Denzel Mims: Mims flashed as a rookie, but he quickly fell out of favor with the new coaching staff in 2021—so this is a big year for him. The former second-rounder needs to have a better grasp on the playbook to force himself on the field, and apparent strides made in terms of physical shape should help heading into training camp and preseason action.


WR Braxton Berrios: While there is some talk of Berrios potentially being the starting slot receiver for the Jets based on his connection with Zach Wilson, we don’t see the team taking snaps away from their young duo and Corey Davis. Instead, Berrios is likely to be a better real-life contributor that can make an impact on special teams and when called upon offensively.


TE C.J. Uzomah: We don’t buy Tyler Conklin being the primary pass-catching option at tight end over Uzomah, but the fact of the matter remains that the team has three very capable players on the depth chart that could eat into each other’s outlook. Uzomah will need to hit on touchdown opportunities if he’s going to repeat as a strong TE2 with a new team.


TE Tyler Conklin: The thing that could give Conklin—coming off a 61-reception season with the Vikings—an edge over Uzomah is being on the field more as a better blocker; but again, it’s suddenly a very crowded offense that will be relying on a young, unproven quarterback to lift everyone up. Barring a summer injury to Uzomah, Conklin isn’t someone we’d be targeting in redraft leagues.


TE Jeremy Ruckert: Ruckert is a well-rounded tight end that is at his best working the middle of the field in the passing game, and the long-term outlook is encouraging between Elijah Moore and Garrett Wilson. That said, value as a rookie will be difficult to come by—making Ruckert more of a dynasty option that will need Uzomah (three-year deal) and Conklin (three-year deal) to not live up to expectations.


Other Notes


Best 2022 value: WR Elijah Moore (FantasyPros ECR: WR30)

Perhaps Garrett Wilson will come in and light it up or Corey Davis becomes the most trusted target of Zach Wilson, but Moore has inside-outside versatility with tremendous explosiveness to consistently beat single coverage. Last year’s second-round pick might even benefit if teams prioritize taking away Wilson, and Moore could be getting overlooked some simply because he wasn’t a first-round selection.


Best dynasty investment: WR Denzel Mims

Wide receivers don’t always hit their ceiling early in a career, and you only need to look at the top wideout in the league (Davante Adams, who many called a bust after two seasons) to see that’s the case. Mims has prototype size and is a great athlete that has shown physicality with the ball in his hands, so he just needs to put everything together. As the WR124 in dynasty leagues, he’s a must-target based on the price.


Stat to know

Excluding the season opener and his career debut (when he caught one pass for negative-three yards), Elijah Moore had three games with at least 80% of the snaps played as a rookie—catching 18 passes for 264 yards and two touchdowns, along with three carries for 31 yards.