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Player Outlooks (2023)
QB Jordan Love: Expecting Love to be a Hall of Famer on the heels of legendary runs by Brett Favre and Aaron Rodgers is obviously unfair, but it’s exciting for Green Bay to have a new signal-caller under center—particularly a young player that can grow with a young group of pass-catchers. The outlook for Love is tough to determine at this point because we won’t know if he’s ready until the games begin, though he should be helped by learning in the same offensive system for the past three years. Consider him a low-end QB2 option in redraft leagues.
RB Aaron Jones: Jones only having two rushing touchdowns last season hurt, but he finished as a top-ten option for the fourth consecutive year as one of the league’s most productive pass-catching backs. In addition to the role through the air, Jones averaged 5.3 yards per carry last season, and he should be featured with Green Bay easing in their new quarterback. One concern is the split with AJ Dillon down the stretch in 2022—including in scoring territory.
RB AJ Dillon: As alluded to, Dillon finished with six touchdowns over his final six games last year, and it’s something that can carry over to 2023 based on his effectiveness around the goal line. The powerful runner is also a very underrated pass-catcher with soft hands to complement what should be increased touches on the ground, and he’s come through late in the year (when the weather gets colder) in all three seasons since entering the league. He’s both a premium handcuff and standalone RB2/FLEX.
RB Tyler Goodson: Goodson was on the practice squad all last season, but he’s a prospect we really liked coming out of Iowa—and the depth chart is open behind Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon. Although it will take an injury for Goodson to get on the field for meaningful snaps, he should be monitored based on the talent.
WR Christian Watson: A dropped touchdown on his first career target, a lack of early production, and injury issues leading to missed time felt like it would combine to make 2022 a lost year for Watson, but the then-rookie exploded over the final eight games—starting off with a 4/107/3 line against Dallas on his way to totaling 584 yards and eight touchdowns the rest of the way. You can bet Watson will get a ton of manufactured looks to create simple reads/throws for Jordan Love to build confidence early in his first year as the starter, and the ceiling is very high as a WR2 target.
WR Romeo Doubs: Doubs—as a fourth-round pick—worked his way into the starting lineup by Week 3 for a franchise that typically brings along rookie wideouts slowly, and he’s primed for a big year in 2023. The concern might be there not being enough volume, but Doubs projects to be a strong fit for the routes Jordan Love is expected to thrive on (posts, digs, etc.)—and he will be a no-doubt starter with good touchdown upside.
WR Jayden Reed: Again, Green Bay usually takes time to develop wide receivers (often with exceptional results), but Reed could benefit from a wide-open depth chart and a young offense in general. A trio of Christian Watson, Doubs, and Reed—the No. 50 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft—can be very formidable for the future, so we’ll see how quickly the rookie can earn a solidified role with others battling for snaps this summer.
WR Samori Toure: Toure could have the edge over a trio of rookies for the No. 3 job to begin the season with a full year of experience in the offense, but building chemistry with Jordan Love is the key for the entire group behind Watson and Doubs. Last season, Toure caught five-of-ten targets for 82 yards and a touchdown—with the score being a 37-yard deep ball versus Buffalo.
WR Dontayvion Wicks: Selected out of Virginia in the fifth round of April’s draft, Wicks had a huge season in 2021 (57/1,203/9 with 21.1 yards per reception) before taking a step back last year. It might take a year to develop based on some of the inconsistencies, but Wicks landed in a great spot with the Packers’ history of building up high-caliber wideouts.
WR Grant DuBose: DuBose was one of the final selections in the 2023 NFL Draft, but that shouldn’t prevent him from making the team as an athletic, big-bodied target at six-foot-two. While the competition level—coming out of Charlotte—will take some getting used to, DuBose is an excellent dynasty stash with impressive strength, body control, and football character.
TE Luke Musgrave: Green Bay doubled dipped at tight end by selecting Musgrave with the No. 42 overall pick and Tucker Kraft with the No. 78 overall pick in April’s draft, and the more productive player isn’t always drafted first. Still, we like the ability of Musgrave to play as a “detached” pass-catcher, and his potential as a route runner should make him a friendly target for Jordan Love. The rookie can put up nice numbers in Year 1 if Matt LaFleur dials his number up enough.
TE Tucker Kraft: Something that stands out about Kraft and the landing spot is him being comfortable playing in snowy conditions that often impact Lambeau Field, and he profiles similarly to fellow South Dakota State product Dallas Goedert. Musgrave might have the edge with “easier” targets if he’s given more action in the slot or out wide, but Kraft becoming the top option wouldn’t be a surprise.
Other Notes
Best IDP value: CB Jaire Alexander
Shutdown-type cornerbacks often don’t provide much of an impact in IDP leagues, but Alexander had five interceptions last season and has always been a guy that’s unafraid to tackle on the outside. Plus, increased shadow coverage should result in more opportunities to get his hands on the ball while trying to take away the top option of opponents.
Stat to know (via draft guide)
Allen Lazard, Randall Cobb, and Robert Tonyan were targeted a combined 217 times last season; the combination of Aaron Jones, AJ Dillon, Christian Watson, and Romeo Doubs combined for 248 targets.