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Player Outlooks (2024)
QB Jordan Love: The Packers got off to a 2-5 start last year and seemed likely to be in the market for a new quarterback after the season, but Love was sensational after the calendar turned to November—going 7-3 with a season-long pace of 4,534 passing yards and a 36:5 touchdown-interception ratio. Now, it sounds like Love could be the next quarterback to sign a mega extension, and Green Bay’s passing attack has proven to be extremely difficult to defend with a balanced group at wide receiver for Love to hit. Quarterback being loaded might make him more of a high-end QB2 target just because the sample size is relatively small, but Love totaled 36 touchdowns last year and could again be a top-five fantasy finisher.
RB Josh Jacobs: Jacobs landing in Green Bay was perhaps the biggest surprise of the offseason, and the structure of the contract is very interesting with a four-year, $48-million deal only having $12.5 in guarantees—which basically makes it a year-by-year contract depending on how things play out. The situation could mean the Packers have absolutely no problems giving Jacobs monster workloads, and it’s something he had no issue with in Las Vegas two years ago when he turned 393 touches into 2,053 total yards. On the other hand, Matt LaFleur once gave Dion Lewis 214 touches in a backfield with Derrick Henry, so the RB1 ranking isn’t without risk.
RB AJ Dillon: Dillon is the holdover in a new-look backfield for the Packers, and some are writing him off after a career-worst 3.4 yards per carry while seeing extended action due to injuries for Aaron Jones in 2023. That said, Dillon dealt with injuries of his own, and he’s still someone that can be very impactful down the stretch as the weather gets colder—making him a top late-season handcuff if he holds off rookie MarShawn Lloyd for the No. 2 role.
RB MarShawn Lloyd: Third-round draft capital shouldn’t automatically vault Lloyd into being a must-own option in redraft leagues, but his path towards fantasy value in Year 1 would probably be earning work in the passing game—which is something he flashed at USC with an impressive 17.8 yards per reception last season. So, while we are a little lower on him than others, Green Bay likes him a lot, and being the starter as soon as 2025 is possible if Josh Jacobs doesn’t quite live up to expectations.
WR Jayden Reed: The Packers have an extremely deep and well-rounded group of wideouts to make the passing attack very difficult to defend, but it also makes it tough for fantasy owners to get a read for things on a weekly basis. Reed is likely the top option after scoring ten total touchdowns as a rookie, and he’s the safest bet to have a substantial impact in almost every game because of the manufactured touches that make him dissimilar to everyone else on the depth chart. We’ll see how a possibly healthy Christian Watson could impact his fantasy value, but Reed should be viewed as a WR3 with a nice floor and ceiling.
WR Christian Watson: An inability to stay healthy really hampered Watson’s second season, but he still showed plenty of upside when on the field—including 15.1 yards per reception and five touchdowns on 28 catches. The big-play weapon hopes to have his hamstring issues under control after visiting a specialist, and the upside such as his three-touchdown game versus Dallas as a rookie and the 7/72/2 line against the Chiefs last season makes him tough to pass up in the middle rounds.
WR Romeo Doubs: The overall appeal of Jayden Reed, the ceiling for Christian Watson, and the buzz on Dontayvion Wicks makes Doubs the forgotten man for the Packers, but he had eight touchdowns last season, and there is at least a chance he enjoys a full breakout in his third year with options like Davante Adams, Jordy Nelson, and Donald Driver having followed a similar path in Green Bay. The more realistic scenario is Doubs—said to be the leader of the group—being the poster child for “better-in-real-life,” but perhaps he will build on a tremendous playoff run.
WR Dontayvion Wicks: Green Bay spreading the ball around as much as they do limits the fantasy appeal of their pass-catchers, but Wicks—coming off a season in which he averaged 10.0 yards per target and came through whenever given expanded opportunities—is worth a late-round flier based on the ability shown as a rookie. It helps that Matt LaFleur loves the second-year wideout, going as far as comparing him to Davante Adams in terms of his ability as a route runner and saying “the sky’s the limit for him”; it just might take an injury for him to have a full-blown breakout.
WR Bo Melton: Melton didn’t make his NFL debut until last Thanksgiving when he played just two snaps, but he came on in a big way when his number was called—going for a 6/105/1 line in an extended role in Week 17 and catching a touchdown in the Divisional Round loss to San Francisco. Although the speedster is likely locked in as the No. 5 wideout, he can still make an impact based on how the offense spreads the ball around and gets everyone involved.
WRs Malik Heath and Grant DuBose: There are a few guys competing for the final spot at wide receiver, and Heath—with good size and craftiness—would seem to be the favorite after making the team as an undrafted free agency last season. DuBose is someone we really liked coming out of Charlotte, though, and perhaps his strength/physicality will be on display enough in camp to force his way onto the 53-man roster.
TE Luke Musgrave: All the wide receivers that need targets in Green Bay makes the tight ends less of a priority, and Musgrave splitting snaps with fellow second-year player Tucker Kraft— when he recovers from his torn pectoral suffered in the offseason—is a further drain on his stock. From an optimistic perspective, Musgrave has the size to make an impact in the red zone and the fluidity to create mismatches from different alignments, so his fantasy value will really depend on how much he is prioritized on a wideout-heavy attack.
TE Tucker Kraft: As stated, Kraft is dealing with a torn pectoral that is expected to at least knock him out into training camp, and it’s a shame for a young player that took advantage of his opportunities with 8.9 yards per target in Year 1. The injury will probably push him further behind Luke Musgrave, so Kraft—who fits well in Green Bay after thriving in cold weather at South Dakota State—is like many other backup tight ends with touchdown success being key.
Other Notes
Best IDP value: CB Jaire Alexander
The Packers somewhat surprisingly didn’t remake the cornerback room at all this offseason, and Alexander will be counted on to stay healthy and get back to his 2022 form when he had five interceptions and was a lockdown option on the outside. Confidence certainly isn’t lacking for the star defender, so he should be up for the challenge of taking on a bunch of top wide receivers in the division and conference.
Stat to know (via draft guide)
Last season in the playoffs, Romeo Doubs went for lines of 6/151/1 and 4/83 on 12 targets.