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Player Outlooks (2024)
QB Aaron Rodgers: Rodgers threw just one pass last year before a torn Achilles ended his season and broke the hearts of Jets fans, and he’s now entering his age-40/41 campaign with one of his worst career seasons in 2022 to end his Packers tenure followed by a brief cameo in 2023; in other words, we haven’t seen elite play from Rodgers since 2021, and New York feels like a complete boom-or-bust squad. That said, the upside of the four-time NFL MVP is him coming out with a chip on his shoulder—when he’s typically been at his best—and lighting it up on an offense with energizing youngsters Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall, and unlike previous seasons, we love what the Jets did by signing Mike Williams, Tyron Smith, and John Simpson, trading for Morgan Moses, and drafting Olumuyiwa Fashanu (although he will ideally not see the field as a rookie if everything goes right) this offseason. There is certainly QB1 upside for Rodgers.
QB Tyrod Taylor: The Jets invested in the backup quarterback position this offseason by signing Taylor, and he’s been extremely serviceable throughout his career—going 28-28-1 with a 65:29 touchdown-interception ratio. Ideally, he won’t see the field in 2024, but Tyrod can make things happen with his legs if New York continued to be inept as a whole without Aaron Rodgers under center.
QB Jordan Travis: New York took a swing on Travis in the fifth round of the 2024 NFL Draft, and he might have gone on Day 2 if not for a gruesome leg injury that ended his college career. The most likely scenario is Travis being a long-term backup with the Jets drafting someone next year if they blow things up, but he’s a name to watch in the preseason.
RB Breece Hall: Hall is a very intriguing pick towards the top of fantasy drafts, as he has shown supreme talent through 24 career games, and the Jets having Aaron Rodgers is outstanding news for the entire offense. New York has a nice stable of runners behind him with rookie Braelon Allen and second-year runner Israel Abanikanda, but Hall was fed down the stretch last year—in a lost season—with touch totals of 32, 22, and 39 over the final three games. That said, we believe the battle behind Christian McCaffrey is between several guys rather than ranking Hall as the clear RB2 like most, and New York has obvious downside as a team.
RB Braelon Allen: We were very high on Allen coming out of Wisconsin, but he unfortunately landed in a situation where he will be stuck behind a star atop the depth chart. However, Allen reportedly shined at OTAs as the clear No. 2 running back, and he should begin his career as a premium handcuff with a chance for RB2 value if Breece Hall were to miss time.
RB Israel Abanikanda: Abanikanda is another runner we really liked, and his pure big-play ability could give him a small role despite being behind Breece Hall and Braelon Allen. The return game could also be an area where Abanikanda shines, and Aaron Rodgers seemed to take a liking to him last summer on Hard Knocks.
RB Isaiah Davis: The Jets taking Davis in the fifth round was a bit of a surprise considering what they already had at running back following the selection of Braelon Allen, but he’s another bigger option (220 pounds) with impressive smoothness as a runner. The rookie will be competing with Israel Abanikanda for the No. 3 job, and we’ll see if New York keeps four backs on the roster.
WR Garrett Wilson: Many will view Wilson as a top-five option as the No. 1 wideout in an Aaron Rodgers-led offense—which has meant huge numbers throughout the four-time NFL MVP’s career. The hype might be slightly too high, though, as Wilson has averaged just 6.8 yards per target while banking on heavy looks since entering the league, and now the Jets will have more weapons with Mike Williams and rookie Malachi Corley joining the team (not to mention the possibility of Allen Lazard reemerging with Rodgers under center). The early schedule is also worth noting with matchups versus Charvarius Ward in Week 1, L’Jarius Sneed in Week 2, and Patrick Surtain II in Week 4—testing Wilson’s fantasy value from the jump.
WR Mike Williams: Williams has concerns about durability that might push him down the rankings, and it’s unfortunate that he tore ACL in 2023 just when it looked like he would be fully unleashed with Kellen Moore in Los Angeles. Now switching coasts to join the Jets, Williams will be catching passes from a future Hall of Fame quarterback in Aaron Rodgers, and he’s shown a history of coming through in big games—which New York has no shortage of with six of them in primetime. Plus, Williams will again benefit (as he did with Keenan Allen) by having another star-caliber wideout on the field drawing attention as he plays across from Garrett Wilson, so we like him as a high-ceiling FLEX.
WR Malachi Corley: Players aren’t always the best judge of talent, but Rodgers has talked up Corley since he was drafted as his “favorite receiver” in the draft, and the rookie should have his development accelerated—at least in terms of learning the offense—by taking the all-time great passer up on his offer to live in his guest house. On the field, Corley is extremely dynamic with the ball in his hands and should be used on designed touches, but will there be enough of them for him to be a reliable fantasy option? Consider him a late-round flier as a rookie.
WR Allen Lazard: There was some trade smoke around Lazard this offseason, but it’s not at all surprising that New York was unable to move him in the second year of a four-year, $44-million contract. Now, Lazard will need to fend off Jason Brownlee as top backup to Mike Williams on the perimeter, and his chemistry with Aaron Rodgers should give him the edge after 14 combined touchdowns in his final two seasons with the Packers.
WR Xavier Gipson: Gipson has received more buzz this offseason after making the team as an undrafted free agent in 2023, and a scenario where he plays ahead of Malachi Corley this year is certainly possible. Still, he’d probably be splitting time with the rookie at best, and again, there simply might not be enough targets/touches to go around with everyone healthy.
WR Jason Brownlee: Brownlee was the other undrafted find for New York last year in addition to Xavier Gipson, and the path to fantasy value was outlined already with him needing to beat out Allen Lazard for snaps behind Mike Williams—who is on the clock to be ready for Week 1.
TE Tyler Conklin: Conklin has seen exactly 87 targets in each of the past three seasons, and he’s been very steady with 61, 58, and 61 receptions, along with 593, 552, and 621 receiving yards in those years. Having Aaron Rodgers under center might be enough to get Conklin close to those marks on an offense that added Mike Williams and Malachi Corley, but limited overall upside—after just one game with double-digit fantasy points last season—makes others more appealing as low-end TE2 options.
TE Jeremy Ruckert: Entering his third season, Ruckert could be a breakout candidate at a position that usually takes time to develop—but the Jets won’t wait around with championship expectations. If he earns significant snaps, the frame and strength could make Ruckert a threat in scoring territory, especially if Mike Williams isn’t ready for the opener or ends up missing time in general.
Other Notes
Best IDP value: S Chuck Clark
We know who the stars are for New York’s stingy defense, but Clark was expected to be an important piece on the backend before a torn ACL last summer—and he was brought back to help set the tone. With the Ravens, Clark had tackle totals of 73, 96, 80, and 101 from 2019 through 2022, and he’s an ideal fit in Robert Saleh’s aggressive scheme.
Stat to know (via draft guide)
Dating back to the 2021 season, Mike Williams has gone for lines of 8/82/1, 7/91/1, 8/165/2, 9/119/1, 8/113/1, 7/120, 10/134, 7/94, and 8/83 in nine games with double-digit targets.