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AP Photo/Nick Wass

2022 NFL Futures Bets Analysis After Five Games


There is still a long way to go in the 2022 NFL season, and where teams currently stand will change drastically in the coming months. But after just five games, the futures market has moved quite a bit. Here are three events that the oddsmakers have found more likely to happen since the start of the season, one that now might be a massive value, and one looking ahead to the spring.

 

Jalen Hurts MVP (+600)

After five stellar games to begin 2022, Jalen Hurts has gone from under-the-radar MVP candidate to a clear frontrunner along with Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, and Lamar Jackson. It’s still early, but the schedule for the Eagles—on paper, which admittedly can be a dangerous thing to judge by—makes it appear that Hurts can lead his team to the top seed in the NFC. If teams beat up on each other in the AFC and guys like Allen, Jackson, and Mahomes hurt each other’s MVP candidacy, and Hurts continues to play close to the level he’s been at, an MVP could be in the offing for the third-year quarterback. You can shop around at sportsbooks for the best options for odds if you are excited about Hurts’ MVP chances at the end of the year.

 

Ravens to win Super Bowl (+1500)

Lamar Jackson has been such a threat this season because he’s doing it as a passer in addition to his rushing prowess, with 12 passing touchdowns through five games. That improved ability as a passer makes the Ravens a more intriguing Super Bowl pick considering their recent playoff struggles with Jackson under center. And after a win following a key divisional matchup against the Bengals, Baltimore’s Super Bowl odds could shoot up from +1500 if they can keep it going.

 

Eagles to win NFC East (-310)

The Cowboys remain a dangerous team and could certainly push to reclaim the NFC East. But this division hasn’t had a repeat division winner in nearly two decades, and the Eagles at -310 highlights how far they’ve come from earlier this offseason when they could be had at a much better value than this while the Cowboys were the division favorites.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers to make playoffs (+1600)

The Steelers are already in a major hole and the schedule is difficult on paper, particularly over the next month. However, +1600 might be worth it for a team that is always in the mix with Mike Tomlin as the head coach. They are looking for a jolt from new starting quarterback Kenny Pickett, who is a pro-ready player now operating a talented offense. The Steelers will get a boost from reigning Defensive Player of the Year T.J. Watt at some point, and odds to make the postseason at this level is a bit nuts for one of the best franchises in football.

 

Bryce Young first overall pick in 2023 NFL Draft (+260)

Looking far ahead to this spring, Ohio State quarterback C.J. Stroud is the current favorite to go No. 1 overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. He’s an excellent passer, but does it make sense for him to be the favorite over Alabama quarterback Bryce Young? The Heisman Trophy winner Young is more of a playmaker with his legs, which is something NFL teams are looking for more in today’s game—and he also gets it done from the pocket. Young at +260 is a potential value.