Season: 123-54-1
GB (7-3-1) @ DET (7-4)
Thursday, November 27 | 1:00 PM ET | FOX
The Lions have lost seven of their last eight games on Thanksgiving, but the losing streak finally ended last year in the crazy finish where Chicago had a chance to win (or tie) at the end—leading to the end of the Matt Eberflus era due to questionable clock management and Caleb Williams holding onto the ball too long. Compared to their preseason expectations, 2025 has been a bit of a struggle in general for Detroit, and that started in the opener with Green Bay handling them, 27-13, in a game that included a “garbage time” touchdown to Isaac TeSlaa. Ironically, TeSlaa could be more involved today with Kalif Raymond (ankle) and Brock Wright (neck) out, but I think the offense will again feed Jahmyr Gibbs with David Montgomery more involved, too, and heavy play-action could help keep Jared Goff clean. The bigger concern for the Lions is on defense based on how they played last week in the near upset loss to the Giants; stopping Josh Jacobs needs to be the priority to make Jordan Love (163.0 passing yards per game over the past three weeks) beat them without Jayden Reed (collarbone) and Tucker Kraft (knee).
Winner: Detroit Lions
KC (6-5) @ DAL (5-5-1)
Thursday, November 27 | 4:30 PM ET | CBS
The NFC might have too many good teams for the Cowboys to make a run into the postseason, but the comeback win over the Eagles last week certainly puts them firmly in contention. Kansas City also had a clutch come-from-behind victory last week to beat the Colts, so both teams have some momentum for the headlining showdown between two high-powered offenses. There is no doubt that Dallas has been better defensively since acquiring Quinnen Williams at the trade deadline, but there are still concerns about them holding up on the backend—especially this week with Xavier Worthy, Hollywood Brown, and Tyquan Thornton all capable of striking with a deep shot. However, as mentioned last week, Patrick Mahomes has simply not been consistent throwing the deep ball for multiple years, and he’s in a cold stretch with a 1:3 touchdown-interception ratio and three straight games with a quarterback rating under 80.0 so far in November. Playing through Rashee Rice and Travis Kelce combined with hitting on the downfield opportunities could lead to a monster game for Mahomes, but they’ll still have to stop Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, and George Pickens in a probable shootout.
Winner: Dallas Cowboys
CIN (3-8) @ BAL (6-5)
Thursday, November 27 | 8:20 PM ET | NBC
Joe Burrow (toe) is back, and the Bengals are in a spot where they need to rattle off a six-game winning streak over the final six weeks to have a shot in the AFC North. Fortunately for them, two of the games come against the Ravens to limit the amount of “help” they’d need in the improbable scenario, and Burrow lit up Baltimore with 410.0 passing yards per game and a combined 9:1 touchdown-interception ratio in two matchups (both losses) last season. The Bengals showed more fight on defense last week and could be energized by Burrow’s return, but defending tight ends has been a major issue—so they better be ready for Mark Andrews and Isaiah Likely (not to mention Charlie Kolar in scoring territory). Lamar Jackson not looking quite as dynamic as a runner/playmaker is something else to keep in mind, but Derrick Henry has heated up with more touches, and Keaton Mitchell could be the X-factor behind him on Thanksgiving Night. I like the Ravens to win another close, high-scoring game.
Winner: Baltimore Ravens