In last week’s buy/sell trade advice, hopefully you listened on Matt Ryan, Andrew Luck, and Sony Michel but did not listen on Chris Carson. After another week, there are still big moves to be made in fantasy leagues.
A big difference-making move could be to acquire Keenan Allen, who is currently 40th among wide receivers in fantasy points through four games. You might be able to convince an Allen owner that the emergence of Mike Williams is impacting the star receiver’s fantasy value, and you could get a potential top-tier WR1 over the next several weeks by trading for him. Allen showed he can dominate with three straight games with 10/100/1 lines last season (the first in NFL history to do so), and those type of performances will be coming after standard point totals of 6, 2, and 6 in standard leagues the last three weeks.
The big concern with Leonard Fournette entering the season was injuries, as he dealt with them throughout his college career and rookie season. Those that spent a first- or second-round fantasy selection on the former LSU star have gotten just nine carries of him at 100%, so his selection might mean their fantasy team is struggling. If you’re in a good position at 3-1 or 4-0, it’s worth inquiring on how much it’d cost to acquire Fournette. He’s a potential 25-carry guy late in the season when the weather gets cold.
Verdict: Buy from a struggling owner
Despite the Bears blowing out the Buccaneers on Sunday, Jordan Howard received just 11 carries—and didn’t do much damage with them. Perhaps if Chicago truly had to ice the game late it would have been different, but it’s not like Benny Cunningham (one carry) received a lot of work. Tarik Cohen had 13 carries and seven receptions in the win, which is the kind of usage that could frighten Howard owners. However, Howard has been one of the NFL’s best running backs since entering the league, and there should be better days moving forward. I would pay a fair price for him.
Chances are, a lot of Kenyan Drake owners are extremely frustrated at the third-year running back’s usage through four games—particularly in Weeks 3 and 4, as he’s combined for just 11 touches in those two contests. The injuries on the offensive line are an obvious concern, but Adam Gase is going to get Drake the ball more—hopefully in space as a receiver—because he’s simply too talented not to get more opportunities. If you can get Drake at a major discount (or even pick him up if an angry owner dropped him), go for it and get a potential RB2 the rest of the way.
Verdict: Buy at a major discount
As a runner, Aaron Jones has been the best of Green Bay’s running backs since his return from a two-game suspension to open the year. However, the Packers have made it clear that Jamaal Williams and Ty Montgomery are a key part to what is a committee backfield. Perhaps Jones can seize the clear top role for the Packers at some point, but this might be the perfect opportunity to sell high and get a different player (a top-20 receiver or a clear starting running back) in return.
Verdict: Sell for a clear starter
Carlos Hyde has been very good for the Browns this season, and he’s been even better for fantasy owners, as he’s sixth in standard scoring for running backs. However, Nick Chubb has been even better in real life, and his presence should threaten Hyde owners. Hyde has 22+ touches in three of the first four games, but the Browns would be wise to give Chubb more work as the season progresses. Don’t sell Hyde too cheap, but maybe try to package him in a deal for someone like clear-workhorse David Johnson—or even maybe trade him for Le’Veon Bell if you have the depth to get by in Bell’s continued absence.
If Nick Chubb is available in your league, you must pick him up. The former Georgia star has shown with limited opportunities that he’s an excellent runner, and the Browns must get him more involved as they attempt to compete for a playoff spot. If the rookie gets up to around ten touches per game, it’d put him in the FLEX conversation. And if the Browns aren’t competing later in the season, the backfield might be turned over to Chubb, which could lead to RB1 value.
Verdict: Pick up (or, if necessary, trade for if you own Hyde)