There are obviously exceptions for clear hits like A.J. Brown in 2019 or Saquon Barkley in 2018, but they say it takes three seasons to evaluate a draft class. We started putting together prospect rankings starting in 2017, so the first class has mostly come to fruition, and we thought now would be a good time to take a look back at how our views compared to those of NFL teams. A lot of the picks are similar from team to team, but that’s because of how much higher we were than the league (and media) on certain players. Here are the takeaways, with full team-by-team results below that.
Takeaways
*The hit percentage in the first round was 100%, as Tre’Davious White (selected nine times) and Ryan Ramczyk (three) have already earned All-Pro honors, and other players drafted would have included Deshaun Watson (ten), Malik Hooker (five), O.J. Howard (three), and David Njoku (two).
*The hit percentage in the second round was also 100%, with either Chris Godwin (18) and/or Joe Mixon (14) being selected.
*The hit percentages by NFL teams in the first and second round were 68.6% and 50%, respectively.
*2018 All-Pro defensive back Desmond King—the No. 151 pick in real life—was selected for 26-of-32 teams; we had a top-50 grade on him.
*Overall, each franchise averaged 2.09 All-Pro selections using our prospect rankings, and each team would have had at least one All-Pro selection (White, Ramczyk, Godwin, or King).
*Only the Colts were considered to have more “hits” compared to our selections for them, but they were all Day 3 picks, and the trio of Godwin, Mixon, and King likely makes the draft haul lean in our direction.
*This was done without the benefit of interviews or the ability to trade up/down.
For the results, our selection is listed first, followed by the actual pick.
AFC East
Buffalo Bills
1.27: CB Tre’Davious White … CB Tre’Davious White
2.37: RB Joe Mixon … WR Zay Jones
2.63: WR Chris Godwin … OT Dion Dawkins
5.163: QB Nathan Peterman … LB Matt Milano
5.171: DL Caleb Brantley … QB Nathan Peterman
6.195: RB Corey Clement … LB Tanner Vallejo
Miami Dolphins
1.22: CB Tre’Davious White … DE Charles Harris
2.54: WR Chris Godwin … LB Raekwon McMillan
3.97: CB Cordrea Tankersley … CB Cordrea Tankersley
5.164: QB Nathan Peterman … G Issac Asiata
5.178: DL Caleb Brantley … DT Davon Godchaux
6.194: RB Corey Clement … DT Vincent Taylor
7.237: OT Chad Wheeler … WR Isaiah Ford
New England Patriots
3.83: WR Chris Godwin … DE Derek Rivers
3.85: CB Cordrea Tankersley … OT Antonio Garcia
4.131: CB Desmond King … DE Deatrich Wise Jr.
6.211: QB Brad Kaaya … OT Conor McDermott
New York Jets
1.06: QB Deshaun Watson … S Jamal Adams
2.39: RB Joe Mixon … S Marcus Maye
3.79: WR Chris Godwin … WR ArDarius Stewart
4.141: CB Desmond King … WR Chad Hansen
5.150: TE Jordan Leggett … TE Jordan Leggett
5.181: DL Caleb Brantley … DE Dylan Donahue
6.188: QB Brad Kaaya … RB Elijah McGuire
6.197: RB Corey Clement … CB Jeremy Clark
6.204: OT Chad Wheeler … CB Derrick Jones
NFC East
Dallas Cowboys
1.28: TE David Njoku … DE Taco Charlton
2.60: WR Chris Godwin … CB Chidobe Awuzie
3.92: CB Cordrea Tankersley … CB Jourdan Lewis
4.133: CB Desmond King … WR Ryan Switzer
6.191: QB Brad Kaaya … S Xavier Woods
6.216: RB Corey Clement … CB Marquez White
7.228: OT Chad Wheeler … DT Joey Ivie
7.239: RB Chris Carson … WR Noah Brown
7.246: TE Ricky Seals-Jones … DT Jordan Carrell
New York Giants
1.23: CB Tre’Davious White … TE Evan Engram
2.55: WR Chris Godwin … DT Dalvin Tomlinson
3.87: CB Cordrea Tankersley … QB Davis Webb
4.140: CB Desmond King … RB Wayne Gallman
5.167: QB Nathan Peterman … DE Avery Moss
6.200: RB Corey Clement … OT Adam Bisnowaty
Philadelphia Eagles
1.14: S Malik Hooker … DE Derek Barnett
2.43: RB Joe Mixon … CB Sidney Jones
3.99: DE Carl Lawson … CB Rasul Douglas
4.118: CB Desmond King … WR Mack Hollins
4.132: TE Jake Butt … RB Donnel Pumphrey
5.166: QB Nathan Peterman … WR Shelton Gibson
5.184: RB Corey Clement … LB Nathan Gerry
6.214: OT Chad Wheeler … DT Elijah Qualls
Washington Redskins
1.17: TE O.J. Howard … DL Jonathan Allen
2.49: WR Chris Godwin … LB Ryan Anderson
3.81: CB Cordrea Tankersley … CB Fabian Moreau
4.114: DE Carl Lawson … RB Samaje Perine
4.123: CB Desmond King … S Montae Nicholson
5.154: QB Nathan Peterman … TE Jeremy Sprinkle
6.199: RB Corey Clement … C Chase Roullier
6.209: OT Chad Wheeler … WR Robert Davis
7.230: RB Chris Carson … S Josh Harvey-Clemons
7.235: TE Ricky Seals-Jones … CB Joshua Holsey
AFC North
Baltimore Ravens
1.16: TE O.J. Howard … CB Marlon Humphrey
2.47: RB Joe Mixon … OLB Tyus Bowser
3.74: WR Chris Godwin … DE Chris Wormley
3.78: CB Cordrea Tankersley … OLB Tim Williams
4.122: CB Desmond King … G Nico Siragusa
5.159: QB Nathan Peterman … OT Jermaine Eluemunor
6.186: RB Corey Clement … S Chuck Clark
Cincinnati Bengals
1.09: QB Deshaun Watson … WR John Ross
2.48: RB Joe Mixon … RB Joe Mixon
3.73: WR Chris Godwin … DE Jordan Willis
4.116: DE Carl Lawson … DE Carl Lawson
4.126: CB Desmond King … WR Josh Malone
4.138: TE Jake Butt … DT Ryan Glasgow
5.153: QB Nathan Peterman … K Jake Elliott
5.176: DL Caleb Brantley … C J.J. Dielman
6.193: RB Corey Clement … LB Jordan Evans
6.207: OT Chad Wheeler … CB Brandon Wilson
7.251: TE Ricky Seals-Jones … TE Mason Schreck
Cleveland Browns
1.01: QB Deshaun Watson … DE Myles Garrett
1.25: CB Tre’Davious White … S Jabrill Peppers
1.29: TE David Njoku … TE David Njoku
2.52: WR Chris Godwin … QB DeShone Kizer
3.65: CB Cordrea Tankersley … DT Larry Ogunjobi
4.126: CB Desmond King … CB Howard Wilson
5.160: QB Nathan Peterman … OT Roderick Johnson
6.185: DT Caleb Brantley … DT Caleb Brantley
7.224: RB Corey Clement … K Zane Gonzalez
7.252: OT Chad Wheeler … RB Matthew Dayes
Pittsburgh Steelers
1.30: OT Ryan Ramczyk … OLB T.J. Watt
2.62: WR Chris Godwin … WR JuJu Smith-Schuster
3.94: CB Cordrea Tankersley … DB Cameron Sutton
3.105: OLB Carl Lawson … RB James Conner
4.135: CB Desmond King … QB Joshua Dobbs
5.173: DL Caleb Brantley … CB Brian Allen
6.213: QB Brad Kaaya … LS Colin Holba
7.248: RB Corey Clement … DE Keion Adams
NFC North
Chicago Bears
1.02: QB Deshaun Watson … QB Mitchell Trubisky
2.45: RB Joe Mixon … TE Adam Shaheen
4.112: OLB Carl Lawson … S Eddie Jackson
4.119: CB Desmond King … RB Tarik Cohen
5.147: TE Jordan Leggett … G Jordan Morgan
Detroit Lions
1.21: CB Tre’Davious White … LB Jarrad Davis
2.53: WR Chris Godwin … CB Teez Tabor
3.96: CB Cordrea Tankersley … WR Kenny Golladay
4.124: CB Desmond King … LB Jalen Reeves-Maybin
4.127: TE Jake Butt … TE Michael Roberts
5.165: QB Nathan Peterman … CB Jamal Agnew
6.205: RB Corey Clement … DE Jeremiah Ledbetter
6.215: OT Chad Wheeler … QB Brad Kaaya
7.250: TE Ricky Seals-Jones … DE Pat O’Connor
Green Bay Packers
2.33: RB Joe Mixon … CB Kevin King
2.61: WR Chris Godwin … S Josh Jones
3.93: CB Cordrea Tankersley … DT Montravius Adams
4.108: OLB Carl Lawson … LB Vince Biegel
4.134: CB Desmond King … RB Jamaal Williams
5.175: DL Caleb Brantley … WR DeAngelo Yancey
5.182: QB Brad Kaaya … RB Aaron Jones
6.212: RB Corey Clement … OT Kofi Amichia
7.238: OT Chad Wheeler … RB Devante Mays
7.247: TE Ricky Seals-Jones … WR Malachi Dupre
Minnesota Vikings
2.41: RB Joe Mixon … RB Dalvin Cook
3.70: WR Chris Godwin … C Pat Elflein
4.109: DE Carl Lawson … DT Jaleel Johnson
4.120: CB Desmond King … LB Ben Gedeon
5.170: QB Nathan Peterman … WR Rodney Adams
5.180: DT Caleb Brantley … G Danny Isidora
6.201: RB Corey Clement … TE Bucky Hodges
7.219: OT Chad Wheeler … WR Stacy Coley
7.220: TE Ricky Seals-Jones … DE Ifeadi Odenigbo
7.232: QB Chad Kelly … LB Elijah Lee
7.245: RB Chris Carson … CB Jack Tocho
AFC South
Houston Texans
1.12: QB Deshaun Watson … QB Deshaun Watson
2.57: WR Chris Godwin … LB Zach Cunningham
3.89: CB Cordrea Tankersley … RB D’Onta Foreman
4.130: CB Desmond King … OT Julien Davenport
4.142: TE Jake Butt … DL Carlos Watkins
5.169: QB Nathan Peterman … CB Treston Decoud
7.243: RB Corey Clement … C Kyle Fuller
Indianapolis Colts
1.15: S Malik Hooker … S Malik Hooker
2.46: RB Joe Mixon … CB Quincy Wilson
3.80: WR Chris Godwin … DE Tarell Basham
4.137: CB Desmond King … G Zach Banner
4.143: TE Jake Butt … RB Marlon Mack
4.144: TE Jordan Leggett … DT Grover Stewart
5.158: QB Nathan Peterman … CB Nate Hairston
5.161: DL Caleb Brantley … LB Anthony Walker Jr.
Jacksonville Jaguars
1.04: QB Deshaun Watson … RB Leonard Fournette
2.34: RB Joe Mixon … OT Cam Robinson
3.68: WR Chris Godwin … DE Dawuane Smoot
4.110: DE Carl Lawson … WR Dede Westbrook
5.148: CB Desmond King … LB Blair Brown
7.222: RB Corey Clement … CB Jalen Myrick
7.240: OT Chad Wheeler … RB Marquez Williams
Tennessee Titans
1.05: S Malik Hooker … WR Corey Davis
1.18: CB Tre’Davious White … CB Adoree’ Jackson
3.72: WR Chris Godwin … WR Taywan Taylor
3.100: DE Carl Lawson … TE Jonnu Smith
5.155: QB Nathan Peterman … LB Jayon Brown
6.217: RB Corey Clement … G Corey Levin
7.227: OT Chad Wheeler … LB Josh Carraway
7.236: RB Chris Carson … OT Brad Seaton
7.241: TE Ricky Seals-Jones … RB Khalfani Muhammad
NFC South
Atlanta Falcons
1.26: CB Tre’Davious White … DE Takkarist McKinley
3.75: WR Chris Godwin … LB Duke Riley
4.136: CB Desmond King … C Sean Harlow
5.149: TE Jordan Leggett … S Damontae Kazee
5.156: QB Nathan Peterman … RB Brian Hill
5.174: DT Caleb Brantley … TE Eric Saubert
Carolina Panthers
1.08: S Malik Hooker … RB Christian McCaffrey
2.40: RB Joe Mixon … WR Curtis Samuel
2.64: WR Chris Godwin … OT Taylor Moton
3.77: CB Cordrea Tankersley … DE Daeshon Hall
5.152: QB Nathan Peterman … CB Corn Elder
6.192: RB Corey Clement … FB Alex Armah
7.233: OT Chad Wheeler … K Harrison Butker
New Orleans Saints
1.11: QB Deshaun Watson … CB Marshon Lattimore
1.32: OT Ryan Ramczyk … OT Ryan Ramczyk
2.42: RB Joe Mixon … S Marcus Williams
3.67: WR Chris Godwin … RB Alvin Kamara
3.76: CB Cordrea Tankersley … LB Alex Anzalone
3.103: DE Carl Lawson … LB Trey Hendrickson
6.196: QB Brad Kaaya … DE Al-Quadin Muhammad
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1.19: TE O.J. Howard … TE O.J. Howard
2.50: WR Chris Godwin … S Justin Evans
3.84: CB Cordrea Tankersley … WR Chris Godwin
3.107: DE Carl Lawson … LB Kendall Beckwith
5.162: QB Nathan Peterman … RB Jeremy McNichols
7.223: RB Corey Clement … DT Steve Tu’ikolovatu
AFC West
Denver Broncos
1.20: CB Tre’Davious White … OT Garrett Bolles
2.51: WR Chris Godwin … DE DeMarcus Walker
3.82: CB Cordrea Tankersley … WR Carlos Henderson
3.101: OLB Carl Lawson … CB Brendan Langley
5.145: CB Desmond King … TE Jake Butt
5.172: DL Caleb Brantley … WR Isaiah McKenzie
6.203: QB Brad Kaaya … RB De’Angelo Henderson
7.253: RB Corey Clement … QB Chad Kelly
Kansas City Chiefs
1.10: QB Deshaun Watson … QB Patrick Mahomes
2.59: WR Chris Godwin … DE Tanoh Kpassagnon
3.86: CB Cordrea Tankersley … RB Kareem Hunt
4.139: CB Desmond King … WR Jehu Chesson
5.183: DT Caleb Brantley … LB Ukeme Eligwe
6.218: RB Corey Clement … S Leon McQuay
Los Angeles Chargers
1.07: QB Deshaun Watson … WR Mike Williams
2.38: RB Joe Mixon … G Forrest Lamp
3.71: WR Chris Godwin … G Dan Feeney
4.113: DE Carl Lawson … S Rayshawn Jenkins
5.151: CB Desmond King … CB Desmond King
6.190: QB Brad Kaaya … OT Sam Tevi
7.225: RB Corey Clement … DE Isaac Rochell
Oakland Raiders
1.24: CB Tre’Davious White … CB Gareon Conley
2.56: WR Chris Godwin … S Obi Melifonwu
3.88: CB Cordrea Tankersley … DT Eddie Vanderdoes
4.129: CB Desmond King … OT David Sharpe
5.168: QB Nathan Peterman … LB Marquel Lee
7.221: RB Corey Clement … S Shalom Luani
7.231: OT Chad Wheeler … OT Jylan Ware
7.242: RB Chris Carson … RB Elijah Hood
7.244: TE Ricky Seals-Jones … DT Treyvon Hester
NFC West
Arizona Cardinals
1.13: S Malik Hooker … LB Haason Reddick
2.36: WR Chris Godwin … S Budda Baker
3.98: DE Carl Lawson … WR Chad Williams
4.115: CB Desmond King … G Dorian Johnson
5.157: QB Nathan Peterman … OT Will Holden
5.179: DT Caleb Brantley … RB T.J. Logan
6.208: RB Corey Clement … S Rudy Ford
Los Angeles Rams
2.44: WR Chris Godwin … TE Gerald Everett
3.69: CB Cordrea Tankersley … WR Cooper Kupp
3.91: OLB Carl Lawson … S John Johnson
4.117: CB Desmond King … WR Josh Reynolds
4.125: TE Jake Butt … LB Samson Ebukam
6.189: QB Brad Kaaya … DL Tanzel Smart
6.206: RB Corey Clement … FB Sam Rogers
7.234: OT Chad Wheeler … LB Ejuan Price
San Francisco 49ers
1.03: QB Deshaun Watson … DL Solomon Thomas
1.31: OT Ryan Ramczyk … LB Reuben Foster
3.66: WR Chris Godwin … CB Ahkello Witherspoon
3.104: DE Carl Lawson … QB C.J. Beathard
4.121: CB Desmond King … RB Joe Williams
5.146: TE Jordan Leggett … TE George Kittle
5.177: DT Caleb Brantley … WR Trent Taylor
6.198: QB Brad Kaaya … DT D.J. Jones
6.202: RB Corey Clement … DE Pita Taumoepenu
7.229: OT Chad Wheeler … S Adrian Colbert
Seattle Seahawks
2.35: RB Joe Mixon … DT Malik McDowell
2.58: WR Chris Godwin … C Ethan Pocic
3.90: CB Cordrea Tankersley … CB Shaquill Griffin
3.95: DE Carl Lawson … S Delano Hill
3.102: CB Desmond King … DT Nazair Jones
3.106: TE Jake Butt … WR Amara Darboh
4.111: TE Jordan Leggett … S Tedric Thompson
6.187: QB Brad Kaaya … S Mike Tyson
6.210: RB Corey Clement … OT Justin Senior
7.226: OT Chad Wheeler … WR David Moore
7.249: RB Chris Carson … RB Chris Carson
Wow.
Browns and Jags would be siiick
The Browns should hire you for GM ha.
Sheesh this is good.
Hindsight is 20/20 so I don’t put stock into this.
Not sure you make sense..
This is based off what would have happened back then not if the picks were made now.
Impressive.
Not many lineman, but woah
Good work.
Dam impressive.