This three-round, draft-week mock includes no trades, and is basically an exercise to lengthen the board and see some of the potential hauls for teams in the 2021 NFL Draft. Feel free to leave your thoughts in the comments about the selections for your favorite squad.
Round 1
1. JAX: Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson
This should have been written in permanent marker from the moment Jacksonville locked up the No. 1 overall pick.
2. NYJ: Zach Wilson, QB, BYU
All the signs have pointed to Wilson being the pick here, and the intrigue should start when San Francisco is on the clock.
3. SF (from MIA via HOU): Mac Jones, QB, Alabama
Jones is back to being a somewhat heavy favorite to be the No. 3 pick, and Kyle Shanahan will hope he’s an extension of himself as a deadly accurate distributor.
4. ATL: Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida
Even if I were doing trades in this mock, Pitts would still be the pick as a dominant weapon to continue wreaking havoc with Julio Jones and beyond (in the post-Julio era).
5. CIN: Ja’Marr Chase, WR, LSU
Oregon offensive tackle remains the betting favorite, but the local media seems to think Chase will be the pick as he reunites with college quarterback Joe Burrow.
6. MIA (via PHI): DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama
Miami obviously moved back up from No. 12 to No. 6 (after trading out of No. 3) for someone in particular, and my guess would be Smith or teammate Jaylen Waddle.
7. DET: Penei Sewell, OT, Oregon
Detroit is the team most likely to trade back in Round 1, but might they want to stay put if Sewell is on the board?
8. CAR: Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State
Panthers owner David Tepper is desperate for a franchise quarterback, and the acquisition of Sam Darnold shouldn’t stand in the way of that if they have a high enough grade on Lance or Justin Fields.
9. DEN: Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State
Fields is the quarterback most likely to slip on Thursday night, but Denver could be the ones to stop his fall—especially if they don’t need to spend any extra draft capital to acquire him.
10. DAL: Patrick Surtain II, CB, Alabama
Surtain II to Dallas has been one of the most obvious matches in the class; will someone move up to disrupt the potential selection?
11. NYG: Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama
New York is on the other end of the spectrum in terms of clearness about their pick, but it’d be difficult to see Daniel Jones struggling with Kenny Golladay on the outside and Waddle joining Saquon Barkley and Evan Engram as a run-after-catch playmaker.
12. PHI (from MIA via SF): Kwity Paye, DE, Michigan
Brandon Graham was the No. 13 overall pick in the 2010 NFL Draft, and general manager Howie Roseman could easily decide to go back to the Michigan well with another defensive end in the same range.
13. LAC: Rashawn Slater, OT, Northwestern
Los Angeles has a few needs they need to plug this week/weekend, but protecting Justin Herbert needs to be the priority; this feels like a better range for Slater than the top-five buzz he generated from media members.
14. MIN: Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech
Darrisaw might not exactly fit the rare athletic profile of prospects Minnesota has targeted up front in recent years, but it might be wise to stop the shuffling and get a stud left tackle.
15. NE: Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina
The team not signing J.C. Jackson to a long-term deal signals to me that they want to be cheaper at cornerback; Horn has the skillset and confidence to be a shutdown option.
16. ARI: Alijah Vera-Tucker, G, USC
Similar to Rashawn Slater, Vera-Tucker is a prospect that might have their draft stock boosted more so by analysts because he’s considered a “high-floor” player, but there’s nothing wrong with Arizona going in that direction considering all the big swings they have made.
17. LV: Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State
Las Vegas has shuffled the deck for their roster quite a bit, and Parsons could be an “alpha” in the middle to help lift up some of the young defenders that have disappointed to start their careers.
18. MIA: Najee Harris, RB, Alabama
It would be good for the league to have Tua Tagovailoa become a star, so sign me up for adding reinforcements in the form of college teammates DeVonta Smith and Harris.
19. WAS: Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB, Notre Dame
Left tackle is the biggest hole for Washington, and they could end up moving up for Christian Darrisaw (or perhaps even a quarterback) in Round 1; if not, Owusu-Koramoah would be tremendous behind a loaded defensive line.
20. CHI: Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech
Chicago is another team that could move up, but Farley—assuming health—would give them a potential decade-long running mate for Jaylon Johnson at cornerback.
21. IND: Alex Leatherwood, OT, Alabama
Leatherwood started three years (two at left tackle) for the Crimson Tide, and his elite athletic testing makes him a definite candidate to be selected by general manager Chris Ballard.
22. TEN: Elijah Moore, WR, Ole Miss
Tennessee signed Josh Reynolds, but they still need help for A.J. Brown at receiver; aside from being a stylistic complement, Moore overlapped with Brown for a year at Ole Miss.
23. NYJ (via SEA): Creed Humphrey, C, Oklahoma
Humphrey might not bring the excitement of Landon Dickerson or Quinn Meinerz, but he’d provide a solid, all-around anchor to grow with Zach Wilson.
24. PIT: Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State
Would the Steelers rather have Travis Etienne (or Najee Harris if available) and a Round 2 offensive tackle? Or a Round 1 offensive tackle (in this case Jenkins) and a Round 2 running back? We’ll find out soon enough.
25. JAX (via LAR): Trevon Moehrig, S, TCU
The buzz for a pass rusher here is picking up ahead of Thursday night, but I’m not sure that makes sense with Josh Allen and K’Lavon Chaisson already on the roster; instead, Moehrig provides versatility on the backend.
26. CLE: Christian Barmore, DT, Alabama
This would be a home-run selection for Cleveland, as Barmore (a flashy pass rusher from the interior) fits perfectly next to Jadeveon Clowney (a dominant run defender on the edge).
27. BAL: Azeez Ojulari, OLB, Georgia
The Ravens have been connected to wideouts in this range, but Marquise Brown, Sammy Watkins, and Mark Andrews should be enough weaponry in a run-first attack—and Ojulari has an AFC North type of game.
28. NO: Asante Samuel Jr., CB, Florida State
Samuel Jr. would be a surprise as the fourth cornerback off the board, though he probably shouldn’t be as a competitive player that can stay outside or defend the slot.
29. GB: Landon Dickerson, C, Alabama
Medicals would be the only thing keeping Dickerson out of the first round, but Green Bay might have some comfort in knowing Elgton Jenkins could simply slide to the pivot if and when it’s needed.
30. BUF: Eric Stokes, CB, Georgia
Buffalo has been searching for a bigger running mate for Tre’Davious White, and Stokes fits the billing at six-foot-one with 4.28 speed.
31. BAL (via KC): Richie Grant, S, UCF
I said Azeez Ojulari fits in the AFC North, and I would go a step further for Grant in saying that he feels like a Baltimore-type player in particular.
32. TB: Gregory Rousseau, OLB, Miami
Agents try to generate smoke all the time, but this would be the last chance for Rousseau to go in Round 1 as Drew Rosenhaus said he would, and Tampa Bay’s pass rush could use more depth.
Round 2
33. JAX: Wyatt Davis, G, Ohio State
34. NYJ: Joe Tryon, DE, Washington
35. ATL: Travis Etienne, RB, Clemson
36. MIA (via HOU): Jayson Oweh, DE, Penn State
37. PHI: Terrace Marshall Jr., WR, LSU
38. CIN: Liam Eichenberg, OT, Notre Dame
39. CAR: Greg Newsome II, CB, Northwestern
40. DEN: Baron Browning, LB, Ohio State
41. DET: Zaven Collins, LB, Tulsa
42. NYG: Joseph Ossai, OLB, Texas
43. SF: Paulson Adebo, CB, Stanford
44. DAL: Jevon Holland, S, Oregon
45. JAX (via MIN): Pat Freiermuth, TE, Penn State
46. NE: Kellen Mond, QB, Texas A&M
47. LAC: Tyson Campbell, CB, Georgia
48. LV: Quinn Meinerz, C, Wisconsin-Whitewater
49. ARI: Kadarius Toney, WR, Florida
50. MIA: Jamin Davis, LB, Kentucky
51. WAS: Dillon Radunz, OT, North Dakota State
52. CHI: Rashod Bateman, WR, Minnesota
53. TEN: Jalen Mayfield, OT, Michigan
54. IND: Carlos Basham, DE, Wake Forest
55. PIT: Javonte Williams, RB, North Carolina
56. SEA: Payton Turner, DE, Houston
57. LAR: Brady Christensen, OT, BYU
58. KC (via BAL): Spencer Brown, OT, Northern Iowa
59. CLE: Kelvin Joseph, CB, Kentucky
60. NO: Rondale Moore, WR, Purdue
61. BUF: Chris Rumph II, DE, Duke
62. GB: Dyami Brown, WR, North Carolina
63. KC: Amari Rodgers, WR, Clemson
64. TB: Levi Onwuzurike, DT, Washington
Round 3
65. JAX: Samuel Cosmi, OT, Texas
66. NYJ: Ifeatu Melifonwu, CB, Syracuse
67. HOU: Elijah Molden, CB, Washington
68. ATL: Ronnie Perkins, DE, Oklahoma
69. CIN: Hunter Long, TE, Boston College
70. PHI: Daviyon Nixon, DT, Iowa
71. DEN: Michael Carter, RB, North Carolina
72. DET: Milton Williams, DT, Louisiana Tech
73. CAR: Nick Bolton, LB, Missouri
74. WAS (via SF): Jamar Johnson, S, Indiana
75. DAL: Jabril Cox, LB, LSU
76. NYG: Trey Smith, G, Tennessee
77. LAC: Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, USC
78. MIN: Dayo Odeyingbo, DE, Vanderbilt
79. LV (via ARI): Deonte Brown, G, Alabama
80. LV: Andre Cisco, S, Syracuse
81. MIA: Tyler Shelvin, DT, LSU
82. WAS: Kyle Trask, QB, Florida
83. CHI: Davis Mills, QB, Stanford
84. PHI (via IND): Dylan Moses, LB, Alabama
85. TEN: Tommy Tremble, TE, Notre Dame
86. NYJ (via SEA): Trey Sermon, RB, Ohio State
87. PIT: Ben Cleveland, G, Georgia
88. LAR: Alim McNeill, DT, NC State
89. CLE: Elerson Smith, DE, Northern Iowa
90. MIN (via BAL): Divine Deablo, S, Virginia Tech
91. CLE (via NO): Tylan Wallace, WR, Oklahoma State
92. GB: Pete Werner, LB, Ohio State
93. BUF: Brevin Jordan, TE, Miami
94. BAL (via KC): Nico Collins, WR, Michigan
95. TB: Demetric Felton, RB, UCLA
96. NE: Seth Williams, WR, Auburn
97. LAC: Shakur Brown, CB, Michigan State
98. NO: Ar’Darius Washington, S, TCU
99. DAL: Walker Little, OT, Stanford
100. TEN: Chazz Surratt, LB, North Carolina
101. DET (via LAR): Josh Palmer, WR, Tennessee
102. SF: Drew Dalman, C, Stanford
103. LAR: Aaron Robinson, CB, UCF
104. BAL: James Hudson, OT, Cincinnati
105. NO: Cornell Powell, WR, Clemson
I just don’t see Miami taking Smith.
Me neither because I’m not confident in their front office.
Draft week!
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